10 million displaced. Khartoum in ruins. Darfur under RSF siege with active genocide warnings. Sudan's civil war is larger than Ukraine by displacement numbers — and the world is barely watching.
Sudan's official national military. Controls Port Sudan (de facto capital), northern regions. Has air force and artillery. Backed by Egypt and parts of the Arab League.
Paramilitary force (~100,000 fighters). Controls Khartoum, Darfur, Kordofan. Grew from Janjaweed militias. Backed by UAE and Russia's Wagner Group.
Sudan is not just a humanitarian catastrophe — it is a strategic battleground for great power influence in Africa. Russia (via Wagner Group successors), the UAE, Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Ethiopia, and the US all have competing interests in who controls Sudan's resources and Red Sea coastline.
Sudan controls hundreds of kilometres of Red Sea coastline. Russia has been seeking a naval base at Port Sudan for years. Whoever controls post-war Sudan controls critical maritime infrastructure linking the Suez Canal to the Indian Ocean — an enormous strategic prize.
Sudan has significant oil reserves (mostly in the south) and is one of Africa's largest gold producers. The RSF controls most of the gold mines, using proceeds to fund its war effort through UAE-connected smuggling networks.
The RSF — which evolved from the Janjaweed militias that committed genocide in Darfur 2003-2008 — is once again targeting non-Arab communities in Darfur. El Fasher, the last major city not under RSF control, has been under siege. UN investigators have documented mass killings and systematic rape consistent with genocide. The US State Department declared the RSF's actions "genocide" in 2024.
Orreryx monitors all 56 active global conflicts including Sudan — displacement data, frontline movements, external actor involvement, and escalation signals — all in real time.
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