Updated Daily
Global Risk Dashboard
Live geopolitical risk scores across active conflicts, country risk profiles and market impact indicators. Traffic-light status, trend direction and asset exposure — the reference page for investors and risk managers tracking 2026 instability.
56
Active Conflicts
8
Critical Risk Zones
74/100
Avg Risk Score
Conflict Status Grid
15 key flashpoints — status, score & trend
| Conflict | Status | Score | Trend | Note | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
🇺🇦🇷🇺 Ukraine-Russia
|
🔴 Deteriorating | 94/100 | ↑ | NATO red lines tested; nuclear signalling at highest level since Cold War |
Details → |
|
🇮🇱🇵🇸 Gaza-Israel
|
🔴 Deteriorating | 91/100 | → | No ceasefire; regional spillover into Lebanon & Yemen ongoing |
Details → |
|
🇮🇳🇵🇰 India-Pakistan
|
🔴 Deteriorating | 88/100 | ↑ | LoC violations at 2-year high; both nuclear-armed states on alert |
Details → |
|
🌏 Middle East Regional
|
🔴 Deteriorating | 82/100 | ↑ | Iran proxies active across Lebanon, Yemen, Iraq, Syria simultaneously |
Details → |
|
🇮🇷 Iran Nuclear
|
🟡 Volatile | 79/100 | → | 60% enrichment; IAEA access limited; Israeli strike window narrowing |
Details → |
|
🇹🇼🇨🇳 China-Taiwan
|
🟡 Volatile | 74/100 | ↑ | PLA exercises increasing; $1T semiconductor supply chain at risk |
Details → |
|
🇰🇵 North Korea
|
🟡 Volatile | 72/100 | → | ICBM tests continuing; troops deployed in Russia; doctrine escalating |
Details → |
|
🇷🇺🌍 Russia-NATO
|
🟡 Volatile | 71/100 | → | Drone attacks reaching NATO territory; Article 5 consultation active |
Details → |
|
🇾🇪 Yemen-Red Sea
|
🟡 Volatile | 69/100 | → | Houthi shipping attacks ongoing; $1T trade rerouted around Cape |
Details → |
|
🇸🇩 Sudan
|
🟡 Volatile | 68/100 | → | 8M+ displaced; largest displacement crisis globally; proxy war deepening |
Details → |
|
🌍 Sahel Region
|
🟡 Volatile | 62/100 | → | State authority collapse in Mali, Niger, Chad; Russia/Wagner presence |
Details → |
|
🇲🇲 Myanmar
|
🟡 Volatile | 65/100 | → | Junta losing territory; resistance coalition advancing; China watching |
Details → |
|
🇪🇹 Ethiopia
|
🟡 Volatile | 58/100 | → | Tigray agreement fragile; Amhara tensions rising; Nile dispute escalating |
Details → |
|
🇵🇭🇨🇳 South China Sea
|
🟡 Volatile | 76/100 | ↑ | Philippine resupply missions confronted; US treaty obligation near trigger |
Details → |
|
🇦🇿🇦🇲 Nagorno-Karabakh
|
🟢 Stable | 41/100 | ↓ | Azerbaijani control consolidated; Armenian diaspora tensions remain |
Details → |
Country Risk Scores
Overall risk + political / security / economic sub-scores
🇺🇦
Ukraine
88
🇮🇷
Iran
84
🇷🇺
Russia
82
🇵🇰
Pakistan
78
🇰🇵
North Korea
76
🇮🇱
Israel
79
🇨🇳
China
71
🇹🇼
Taiwan
69
🇮🇳
India
67
🇸🇦
Saudi Arabia
58
Market Risk Heatmap
Asset exposure to active conflict drivers
| Asset | Ukraine-Russia | Middle East | China-Taiwan | India-Pak | Iran Nuclear | N. Korea |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gold | 🔴 HIGH | 🔴 HIGH | 🔴 HIGH | 🔴 HIGH | 🔴 HIGH | 🟡 MOD |
| Oil (Brent) | 🟡 MOD | 🔴 HIGH | 🟡 MOD | ⚫ LOW | 🔴 HIGH | ⚫ LOW |
| Wheat | 🔴 HIGH | 🟡 MOD | ⚫ LOW | 🟡 MOD | ⚫ LOW | ⚫ LOW |
| Natural Gas | 🔴 HIGH | 🟡 MOD | ⚫ LOW | ⚫ LOW | 🟡 MOD | ⚫ LOW |
| Defence Stocks | 🔴 HIGH | 🔴 HIGH | 🔴 HIGH | 🟡 MOD | 🟡 MOD | 🟡 MOD |
| Emerging Markets | 🟡 MOD | 🟡 MOD | 🔴 HIGH | 🔴 HIGH | 🟡 MOD | ⚫ LOW |
Frequently Asked Questions — Risk Dashboard
What is a geopolitical risk dashboard?
A geopolitical risk dashboard is a real-time monitoring tool that tracks political instability, military conflicts, diplomatic crises and other risks across countries and regions, translating them into quantitative risk scores and market impact indicators. Professional investors, risk managers and supply chain analysts use geopolitical risk dashboards to identify emerging threats before they are reflected in asset prices. This dashboard tracks 15 active conflicts, 10 country risk profiles and 6 asset classes, updated daily with the latest intelligence.
Which countries have the highest geopolitical risk in 2026?
In 2026, the countries with the highest geopolitical risk scores are Ukraine (88/100), Iran (84/100), Russia (82/100), Pakistan (78/100) and North Korea (76/100). Ukraine's risk is driven by active war with Russia and nuclear signalling; Iran by its nuclear programme and proxy network; Russia by military overextension and sanctions exposure; Pakistan by India-Pakistan tensions and economic fragility; North Korea by accelerating ICBM tests and weapons-grade posture. All five countries show deteriorating or volatile trend indicators heading into mid-2026.
How do geopolitical risk scores affect commodity prices?
Geopolitical risk scores directly drive commodity price volatility through supply disruption risk, safe-haven demand and sanctions-driven trade rerouting. Oil prices are most sensitive to Middle East and Iran risk scores; wheat is driven by Ukraine-Russia and Sahel scores; gold correlates with overall global risk levels, especially nuclear indicators and Middle East tensions. Natural gas in Europe tracks the Ukraine-Russia risk score most closely. When risk scores deteriorate rapidly, commodity markets price in supply risk premiums that can add 10-25% to spot prices within days.
How often is the Orreryx risk dashboard updated?
The Orreryx risk dashboard is updated daily with the latest conflict data, diplomatic developments and military intelligence. During acute crisis events — such as a missile exchange, military exercise or diplomatic breakdown — updates are made in near real-time as events are verified. Risk scores use a 7-day rolling assessment window to avoid over-reaction to single events while remaining responsive to genuine trend changes. Subscribers receive push alerts when any monitored conflict crosses key threshold changes, such as a score move of 10+ points or a status change from VOLATILE to DETERIORATING.
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